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Asian Journal of Biomedical and Pharmaceutical Sciences | ISSN: 2249-622X | Volume 8

&

Joint Event

Chemistry and Organic Chemistry

Biomedicine & Pharmacotherapy

International Conference on

8

th

World Congress on

October 22-23, 2018 | Frankfurt, Germany

Multivariate polynomial regression for response surface analysis – A new tool for empirical data

discovery

David A Vaccari

Stevens Institute of Technology, USA

A

novel approach is described for empirically modeling

multivariate response surfaces, either timeseries or

nontime series. Potential applications in chemistry include

structure-property

relationships

and

physicochemical

property correlations, among many others. The approach uses

multivariate polynomial regression (MPR) with a step-wise

algorithm to select terms. The approach includes advantages

of multilinear regression such as simplicity and transparency. It

also has the advantages of more complex modeling approaches

such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) in its ability to model

complex response surfaces, including high degree curvilinear

interactions. Furthermore, MPR has advantages over ANNs

in its transparency, tractability, parsimony and resistance to

overfitting. Theseadvantages are illustratedbyanexampleanda

freely-available online tool for fitting these models is described.

Two applications are described. The first is a non-time-series

material property correlation using eight independent variables

to predict the strength of a concrete mixture. The second is a

vector autoregression (VAR) model to describe tungsten flow in

the U.S. economy.

Speaker Biography

David Vaccari is a professor of environmental engineering at Stevens Institute of

Technology in Hoboken, NJ. He has a masters and PhD in environmental science and a

master’sinchemicalengineering,allfromRutgersUniversity.Originallyfocusedonwaste

water treatment andwater pollution, he now specializes inmodeling global phosphorus

resource flows and in nonlinear statistical modeling in general. The specialization

in phosphorus grew from involvement in planning bioregenerative life support for

long-term space missions for NASA, from research for a textbook in Environmental

Biology published by John Wiley, and from work on models of phosphorus pollution

in streams. He is a licensed professional engineer, a Board-Certified Environmental

Engineer, and is listed in the Who’s Who in Environmental Engineering and Science.

e:

dvaccari@stevens.edu

David A Vaccari, Chemistry and Biomedicine 2018, Volume 8

DOI: 10.4066/2249-622X-C4-012